Case Yin and Yang of Capital Flow Management In its October 2013 World Economic Outlook,9 the…

Case Yin and Yang of Capital Flow Management In its October 2013 World Economic Outlook,9 the International Monetary Fund (IMF) made the point that there are two ways countries can deal with a surge in foreign capital inflows into a country; either financial adjustment involving reserve accumulation or through offsetting capital outflows, or via a current-account deficit. For emerging market economies, capital inflows led to domestic booms and a current-account deficit. When such capital inflows reversed, this led to painful economic adjustments and—in some cases—financial crisis, such as affected Asian economies in 1998. The global financial crisis has led to a break in this pattern. Some countries continued to experience the knock-on effects of capital inflows and outflows through a boom and then bust for their economies. However, many countries experienced something different. When foreign capital flows reversed, their place was aken by domestic residents who repatriated their own foreign assets. In the IMF’s view, this pattern where foreign capital flows were offset by resident flows was a key factor for those economies that experienced this to be more resilient to the inflows and outflows of foreign capital. The IMF staffers suggested that policymakers should support domestic residents’ actions to offset sudden capital outflows and to encourage such behavior in those countries where it does not currently occur.

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